Caterpillar cuts forecast after disappointing first quarter

April 22, 2013

Caterpillar cut its 2013 forecast and “significantly” lowered its outlook for demand from commodities producers and other mining customers while it posted disappointing first-quarter earnings.

The company is the largest marker of mining equipment in the world and had forecast sales for the company to be $60 to $68 billion, but lowered that forecast to $57 to $61 billion.

Profit in 2013 will be about $7 a share, compared with a January projection of $7 to $9, Caterpillar said in a statement.

The shares rose after Caterpillar said it will resume its stock buyback program and Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Doug Oberhelman said the worst in mining may almost be over, Bloomberg reported.

The earnings miss was due to “slower global growth than initially expected, principally driven by a weaker mining outlook,” Larry De Maria, a New York-based analyst for William Blair & Co. who has a buy rating on the shares, said in an interview with Bloomberg.

Caterpillar dealers reduced inventories amid a decline in mining capital expenditures, which will drop 20 percent globally in 2013 from last year’s peak, according to an April 11 JPMorgan Chase & Co. report. “We’re close to the floor in mining,” Oberhelman told CNBC in an interview.

The shares have declined 10 percent this year through April 19, the worst performer in the 30-company Dow Jones Industrial Average.

First-quarter net income fell to $880 million, or $1.31 a share, from $1.59 billion, or $2.37, a year earlier. The average of 20 estimates was for profit of $1.38 a share. Sales declined to $13.2 billion from $16 billion, less than the average estimate of $13.7 billion, as dealers ordered less to cut inventories.

Caterpillar’s sales to resources customers have become a bigger share of revenue, accounting for 32 percent of total equipment sales in 2012, after Caterpillar bought mining equipment makers Bucyrus International Inc. in 2011 and ERA Mining Machinery Ltd. in China last year. Slumping mining orders have spurred the company to slow production and announce layoffs in factories such as a plant in Decatur, IL.

The lower 2013 outlook reflects a sales decline of about 50 percent from last year for traditional Caterpillar machines used in mining and a drop of about 15 percent for sales of machines from the Bucyrus acquisition, Oberhelman said in the statement.


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