October 2000
Volume 52    Issue 10

Probabilistic quatification of uncertainty in predicting mine pit-lake water quality

Mining Engineering , 2000, Vol. 52, No. 10, pp. 32-37
Kempton, J.H.; Locke, W.; Atkins, D.; Nicholson, A.

Decision makers evaluating open-pit mines need estimates of future pit-lake water quality that are more accurate than current analytical modeling can provide. Analogous problems exist in other industrial sectors, such as nuclear waste disposal or fossil fuel consumption. Economic interests drive activities that produce short-term gains, and public policy requires disclosure of potential impacts; yet uncertainty in key parameters limits the ability to even bracket the probability of incurring environmental damage.

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